Академическое издательство «Гео»

Keywords: forest fires, climatic models, climate changes, regional consequences.



GEOGRAPHY AND NATURAL RESOURCES, 2010, № 2, p. 120-126

Regional model assessments of forest fire risks in the Asian part of Russia under climate change

I.I. Mokhov and A.V. Chernokulsky

Presented are the results from analyzing the changes in the fire hazard conditions in the Asian part of Russia within the context of prospective anthropogenic climate change in the 21st century. It is found that with a rise in temperature, a substantial influence on a general increase of fire hazard is exerted by a change of the distribution function of precipitation. With a general warming by the end of the 21st century, the middle and subtropical latitudes will see, along with increasing fire hazard risk, an extension of the fire-hazardous period, whereas the high latitudes will undergo a more limited changes in the risk.

Keywords: forest fires, climatic models, climate changes, regional consequences.
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